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Territorial climate and risk factors

Republic of Moldova · 01 Apr 2026 — 30 Sep 2026

TerritoryYear

Territorial profiles use complete seasons: 1 April–30 September. Water calculations are available for 2026; climate history is shown by year.

Selected period: precipitation 278.0 mm, mean temperature 18.8 °C and an area-weighted mean of 43.9 days with Tmax >30 °C. Source homogeneity is unconfirmed Geographic-area weighted mean, without a cropland mask. Model data, not field measurements.

Geographic-area weighted mean, without a cropland mask. Model data, not field measurements.

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Total precipitation278.05 mm

Mean temperature18.79 °C

Days with Tmax >30°C43.93 days, area-weighted mean

Longest spell with precipitation below 1 mm/day20.53 days, area-weighted mean

P10, P50 and P90: the distribution of reference-period values. Definitions and the full table follow below.

Climate map of the whole of Moldova

Total precipitation · mm · 2026-04-01 — 2026-09-30

Select a geography for details. Colour represents the physical value, not a risk class. geoBoundaries 2020 geometry, without a cropland mask. This overview map is not for measuring distances.

Territory: Republic of Moldova

239.0 ← light to dark → 331.1 mm

All values as a table

Territory	Total precipitation · mm
Cahul	250.46 mm
Autonomous Territorial Unit of Găgăuzia	251.04 mm
Taraclia	248.83 mm
Cantemir	250.62 mm
Basarabeasca	254.72 mm
Leova	253.23 mm
Cimișlia	254.74 mm
Ștefan Vodă	239.76 mm
Bender	238.99 mm
Căușeni	240.89 mm
Hîncești	271.84 mm
Ialoveni	257.48 mm
Nisporeni	291.01 mm
Chișinău	258.36 mm
Anenii Noi	240.78 mm
Criuleni	250.77 mm
Strășeni	264.42 mm
Ungheni	308.12 mm
Dubăsari	242.15 mm
Călărași	298.13 mm
Administrative-territorial units on the left bank of the Nistru	253.34 mm
Fălești	317.20 mm
Orhei	254.30 mm
Glodeni	325.02 mm
Bălți	322.47 mm
Telenești	280.54 mm
Sîngerei	314.26 mm
Rîșcani	331.07 mm
Rezina	267.32 mm
Șoldănești	303.02 mm
Florești	316.51 mm
Drochia	326.61 mm
Edineț	326.41 mm
Briceni	309.04 mm
Soroca	321.80 mm
Dondușeni	323.57 mm
Ocnița	316.26 mm

Wide tables scroll horizontally. Keyboard: Tab to the table, then use ← / →.

Climate indicators

Each index is calculated within each native cell before averaging by its intersection area. Day counts may be fractional. Maxima, minima and spells are means of cell indices, not extremes for the whole territory.

Indicator	Value	Unit	Status
Total precipitation	278.05	mm	Calculation from model data
Mean temperature	18.79	°C	Calculation from model data
Days with Tmax >30°C	43.93	days, area-weighted mean	Calculation from model data
Days with Tmax >35°C	11.97	days, area-weighted mean	Calculation from model data
Longest spell with precipitation below 1 mm/day	20.53	days, area-weighted mean	Calculation from model data
Minimum daily minimum temperature	-0.79	°C	Calculation from model data
Maximum daily maximum temperature	38.58	°C	Calculation from model data
Days with Tmin below 0 °C	3.62	days, area-weighted mean	Calculation from model data
Longest spell with precipitation of at least 1 mm/day	4.89	days, area-weighted mean	Calculation from model data
Maximum one-day precipitation	27.39	mm	Calculation from model data
Maximum precipitation total over five consecutive days	49.68	mm	Calculation from model data
Days with precipitation of at least 10 mm	7.63	days, area-weighted mean	Calculation from model data
Mean precipitation per wet day (≥1 mm)	5.21	mm/wet day	Calculation from model data
Growing degree days, base 5°C	2524.37	°C·days	Calculation from model data
Growing degree days, base 10°C	1666.57	°C·days	Calculation from model data
Sum of Tmax exceedances above 30 °C	146.21	°C·days	Calculation from model data
Sum of Tmax exceedances above 35 °C	17.84	°C·days	Calculation from model data
Heat excess above 32°C	75.82	°C·days	Calculation from model data
Days with Tmin below 0°C, 1 April–31 May	3.62	days, area-weighted mean	Calculation from model data

Comparison with 1991–2020

Numerical comparisons use the same product and grid. Rank = 100 × (years with lower values + half the years with equal values) / 30. Percentage differences are not used for Celsius temperatures or a zero reference. Years within the reference period are not treated as predictions. Source homogeneity is unconfirmed

Indicator	Difference	Difference, %	Percentile rank	Status
Total precipitation · mm	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Mean temperature · °C	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Days with Tmax >30°C · days, area-weighted mean	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Days with Tmax >35°C · days, area-weighted mean	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Longest spell with precipitation below 1 mm/day · days, area-weighted mean	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Minimum daily minimum temperature · °C	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Maximum daily maximum temperature · °C	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Days with Tmin below 0 °C · days, area-weighted mean	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Longest spell with precipitation of at least 1 mm/day · days, area-weighted mean	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Maximum one-day precipitation · mm	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Maximum precipitation total over five consecutive days · mm	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Days with precipitation of at least 10 mm · days, area-weighted mean	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Mean precipitation per wet day (≥1 mm) · mm/wet day	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Growing degree days, base 5°C · °C·days	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Growing degree days, base 10°C · °C·days	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Sum of Tmax exceedances above 30 °C · °C·days	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Sum of Tmax exceedances above 35 °C · °C·days	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Heat excess above 32°C · °C·days	—	—	—	Source mismatch
Days with Tmin below 0°C, 1 April–31 May · days, area-weighted mean	—	—	—	Source mismatch

Historical reference 1991–2020

Matching 1991–2020 calendar windows excluding February 29. Quantiles use HF7 linear interpolation. P10/P90 describe interannual variability, not confidence intervals. Admitted rank: 100×(below + 0.5×equal)/n.

Indicator	Reference-period mean	P10	P50	P90	Years
Total precipitation · mm	309.86	217.96	312.55	381.58	30
Mean temperature · °C	18.40	17.23	18.36	19.55	30
Days with Tmax >30°C · days, area-weighted mean	37.60	20.56	37.83	52.84	30
Days with Tmax >35°C · days, area-weighted mean	6.00	0.26	4.18	13.71	30
Longest spell with precipitation below 1 mm/day · days, area-weighted mean	18.64	14.26	18.35	23.65	30
Minimum daily minimum temperature · °C	-2.18	-4.65	-2.09	0.41	30
Maximum daily maximum temperature · °C	36.57	34.19	36.59	38.55	30
Days with Tmin below 0 °C · days, area-weighted mean	4.25	0.40	3.90	8.25	30
Longest spell with precipitation of at least 1 mm/day · days, area-weighted mean	6.48	4.75	6.30	8.21	30
Maximum one-day precipitation · mm	27.78	18.73	26.31	37.10	30
Maximum precipitation total over five consecutive days · mm	50.23	31.35	48.68	67.83	30
Days with precipitation of at least 10 mm · days, area-weighted mean	7.20	3.95	7.24	10.63	30
Mean precipitation per wet day (≥1 mm) · mm/wet day	5.19	4.26	5.29	6.07	30
Growing degree days, base 5°C · °C·days	2458.64	2248.20	2448.89	2671.74	30
Growing degree days, base 10°C · °C·days	1586.75	1372.31	1580.04	1808.29	30
Sum of Tmax exceedances above 30 °C · °C·days	104.40	45.92	103.16	154.47	30
Sum of Tmax exceedances above 35 °C · °C·days	8.91	0.19	3.44	22.33	30
Heat excess above 32°C · °C·days	46.18	10.20	41.60	84.35	30
Days with Tmin below 0°C, 1 April–31 May · days, area-weighted mean	4.23	0.40	3.90	8.25	30

Quality and provenance

Boundary area: 33856.0 km²
Geographic grid coverage: 100%
Intersecting meteorological cells: 26
Period: Republic of Moldova · 01 Apr 2026 — 30 Sep 2026
Boundary version: geoBoundaries ADM1 · 2020
Native resolution: 0.5° × 0.625°; solar 1°
Status: 19 calculated indicators
Retrieved on: 2026-10-07T23:37:25.629615Z

Geographic-area weighted mean, without a cropland mask. Model data, not field measurements.
The MERRA-2 reference for 1991–2020 is available separately. The 2026 anomaly and rank are withheld because source homogeneity is unconfirmed. Historical comparisons describe past conditions; they do not validate a forecast model.
geoBoundaries ADM1 outlines, 2020; CUATM codes from the BNS CUATM_25.xlsx file. Current legal boundary equivalence and field boundaries are not established.

NASA POWER Daily API v2.10.0; CUATM; geoBoundaries ↗ · NASA POWER / geoBoundaries: public reuse with attribution

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Data, methods and limitations

Report identifier: ec88918af5fabe6c025ad84012ed78a6eb45c926695d19097ee6a063fc20c135
content_sha256: ec88918af5fabe6c025ad84012ed78a6eb45c926695d19097ee6a063fc20c135
Application source version: 0ee0f069f5ac2b169d985f0e5a507eef670ee415
Method and template version: territorial-native-cell-area/1.1.0 · country-bulletin/1.6.9
Dataset version: c7d50aea133f218ea33dda72368b1dec2bff2f07bb62ee37027009089dd4db87